Commanders vs. Buccaneers Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 1

Published 4:37 pm Saturday, September 7, 2024

At Raymond James Stadium on Sunday, Sept. 8, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers face the Washington Commanders, starting at 4:25 p.m. ET. The Buccaneers should win, based on our computer model — continue reading to find more tips about the point spread, over/under and even the final score.

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The Buccaneers ranked 20th in scoring offense (20.5 points per game) and sixth in scoring defense (19.1 points allowed per game) last season. Despite sporting a bottom-five scoring defense that ranked worst in the NFL last season (30.5 points allowed per game), the Commanders put up better results offensively, ranking 24th in the NFL by averaging 19.4 points per game.

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Commanders vs. Buccaneers Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Buccaneers (-3.5) Over (42.5) Buccaneers 32, Commanders 13

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Commanders Betting Info

  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Commanders have a 39.2% chance to win.
  • Washington put together a 6-10-1 ATS record last year.
  • The Commanders covered the spread three times last season (3-6-1 ATS) when playing as at least 3.5-point underdogs.
  • Washington and its opponent combined to go over the point total 10 out of 17 times last season.
  • The average total points scored in Commanders games last year (42.5) is 0.5 points higher than the total for this matchup.

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Buccaneers Betting Info

  • The Buccaneers have an implied moneyline win probability of 65.5% in this game.
  • Tampa Bay won 11 games against the spread last season, failing to cover six times.
  • The Buccaneers covered the spread once last season (1-1 ATS) when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites.
  • Tampa Bay games went over the point total six out of 17 times last season.
  • Buccaneers games last season posted an average total of 41.3, which is 1.2 points fewer than the total for this matchup.

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Commanders vs. Buccaneers 2023 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Buccaneers 20.5 19.1 17.6 17.1 23 20.9
Commanders 19.4 30.5 16 34 22.3 27.3

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