Our computer model predicts a win for the New York Giants when they face the Washington Commanders at Commanders Field on Sunday, Sept. 15 at 1:00 p.m. ET — for a full breakdown regarding the spread, over/under and final score, continue reading.

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Despite having a bottom-five scoring defense that ranked worst in the NFL last season (30.5 points allowed per game), the Commanders had more success on offense, ranking 24th in the NFL by averaging 19.4 points per game. The Giants were a bottom-five scoring offense last season, ranking third-worst with 15.6 points per contest. On defense, they ranked 26th in the NFL (23.9 points allowed per game).

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Commanders vs. Giants Predictions and Picks

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Commanders Betting Info

• Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Commanders have an implied win probability of 55.6%.
• Washington covered six times in 17 matchups with a spread last season.
• The Commanders were favored by 1.5 points or more last season four times and failed to cover in all four.
• Last season, 10 Washington games hit the over.
• The over/under for this game is 43.5 points, 0.5 more than the average point total for Commanders games a year ago.

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Giants Betting Info

• The implied probability of a win by the Giants, based on the moneyline, is 48.8%.
• New York went 8-8-1 ATS last year.
• The Giants covered the spread eight times last year (8-7-1 ATS) when playing as at least 1.5-point underdogs.
• New York games went over the point total six out of 17 times last season.
• Games involving the Giants last year averaged 40.6 points per game, a 2.9-point differential when compared to the over/under for this contest.

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Commanders vs. Giants 2023 Scoring Insights

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