Commanders vs. Browns Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 5

Published 4:37 pm Saturday, October 5, 2024

The Washington Commanders will meet the Cleveland Browns at Commanders Field on Sunday, Oct. 6 at 1:00 p.m. ET. Our computer model projects the Commanders will earn a victory — see below for more information regarding the spread, over/under and final score.

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The Commanders are totaling 382.3 yards per game on offense (sixth in NFL), and they rank 26th on the other side of the ball with 357 yards allowed per game. The Browns rank second-worst in total yards per game (246.3), but they’ve been more productive on the other side of the ball, ranking 11th in the NFL with 299 total yards allowed per contest.

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Commanders vs. Browns Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Commanders (-3) Over (43.5) Commanders 37, Browns 10

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Commanders Betting Info

  • The Commanders have a 61.5% chance to win this game based on the moneyline’s implied probability.
  • Washington has won three games against the spread this season, while failing to cover once.
  • A total of three out of four Washington games this season have gone over the point total.
  • The over/under in this matchup is 43.5 points, 1.4 fewer than the average total in this season’s Commanders contests.

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Browns Betting Info

  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 42.6% chance of a victory for the Browns.
  • Cleveland has covered once in four matchups with a spread this season.
  • The Browns have been an underdog by 3 points or more once this season, and covered the spread.
  • Cleveland games have gone over the point total just once this year.
  • Browns games average 39.5 total points (playoffs included), four fewer than the total for this matchup.

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Commanders vs. Browns 2024 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Commanders 30.3 25.5 21 18 33.3 28
Browns 16.5 21.8 16 27 17 16.5

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