How to Pick the Maple Leafs vs. Capitals Game with Odds, Spread, Betting Line and Stats – December 28

Published 12:43 am Saturday, December 28, 2024

There are a variety of betting options to take into account for the upcoming matchup that has the Toronto Maple Leafs matching up with the Washington Capitals at 7:00 PM ET on Saturday, December 28. To get you prepared to place a bet or put together a parlay, take a look at our best bets and projections below.

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Maple Leafs vs. Capitals Picks

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Total Pick

Pick OU: Over 6 (model projecting 6.1 goals)

  • Toronto and its opponent have combined to outscore Saturday’s over/under (6 goals) 21 times this season.
  • This season, 19 of Washington’s games have featured more than 6 goals.
  • The Maple Leafs score 3.14 goals per game, compared to the Capitals’ average of 3.68, adding up to 0.8 more goals than this contest’s over/under of 6.
  • The 5.4 goals per game these two teams concede are 0.6 less than the over/under set for this contest.

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Moneyline Pick

Maple Leafs Moneyline: -116

  • The Maple Leafs have been victorious in 16 of their 28 games when they were favored on the moneyline this season (57.1%).
  • Toronto is 15-12 when playing with moneyline odds of -116 or shorter (55.6% win percentage).
  • Based on the moneyline in this matchup, the Maple Leafs’ implied win probability is 53.7%.

Capitals Moneyline: -104

  • Washington has earned an upset victory 13 times when playing as the underdog on the moneyline this season (in 20 games as the underdog).
  • The Capitals have 13 wins in games when their odds are -104 or longer on the moneyline (in 20 opportunities).
  • Washington’s implied probability to win is 51.0% based on its moneyline odds.

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Score Prediction

Prediction:
Toronto 4, Washington 3

Maple Leafs Points Leaders

  • A productive offensive player this season for Toronto, Mitchell Marner has recorded 49 points.
  • Having scored 23 goals and adding 18 assists, William Nylander is excelling for Toronto through 36 games.
  • On 103 shots (for 17 goals) and 19 assists, John Tavares has recorded 36 points this season.
  • Across 17 games played, Anthony Stolarz has a goaltending record of 9-5-2. During those games, he’s allowed 35 goals while recording 445 saves.

Capitals Points Leaders

  • Dylan Strome is a top offensive contributor for his club with 38 points (1.1 per game). He has recorded 11 goals and 27 assists in 34 games (playing 17:49 per game).
  • Connor McMichael is crucial for Washington’s attack with 29 total points (0.9 per game), including 16 goals and 13 assists through 34 games.
  • Washington’s Aliaksei Protas has 29 points, courtesy of 14 goals (third on team) and 15 assists (fourth).
  • Logan Thompson’s record stands at 13-2-2 on the season, allowing 41 goals (2.4 goals against average) and collecting 433 saves with a .914 save percentage (10th-best in the league).

Maple Leafs’ Schedule

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Date Opponent Score Home/Away Moneyline
12/21/2024 Islanders L 6-3 Home -138
12/23/2024 Jets L 5-2 Home -130
12/27/2024 Red Wings W 5-2 Away -135
12/28/2024 Capitals Home -116
12/31/2024 Islanders Home
1/2/2025 Islanders Away
1/4/2025 Bruins Home

Capitals’ Schedule

Date Opponent Score Home/Away Moneyline
12/20/2024 Hurricanes W 3-1 Home +133
12/22/2024 Kings W 3-1 Home -160
12/23/2024 Bruins L 4-1 Away +118
12/28/2024 Maple Leafs Away -104
12/29/2024 Red Wings Away
12/31/2024 Bruins Home
1/2/2025 Wild Home

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Toronto vs. Washington Game Info

  • Date: Saturday, December 28, 2024
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • How to watch on TV: NHL Network
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Location: Toronto, Ontario
  • Venue: Scotiabank Arena

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