Commanders vs. Cowboys Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 18
Published 4:36 pm Saturday, January 4, 2025
A victory by the Washington Commanders over the Dallas Cowboys is our computer model projection for these teams’ upcoming game, on Sunday, Jan. 5 at 1 p.m. ET (at AT&T Stadium). For more information, including the spread, over/under and final score, see below.
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On the offensive side of the ball, the Commanders have been a top-five unit, ranking fifth-best in the NFL by compiling 28.9 points per game. They rank 19th on defense (23.3 points allowed per game). The Cowboys’ defense has been a bottom-five unit in total defense this season, ceding 360.6 total yards per game, which ranks fifth-worst. On offense, they rank 19th with 324.3 total yards per contest.
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Commanders vs. Cowboys Predictions and Picks
| ATS | Over/Under | Score Prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Toss Up (Spread: Commanders by 6.5) | Over (44) | Commanders 29, Cowboys 21 |
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Commanders Betting Info
- The Commanders have an implied moneyline win probability of 75.0% in this contest.
- Washington has covered the spread 10 times in 16 games this season.
- The Commanders have covered the spread once this season (1-2 ATS) when playing as at least 6.5-point favorites.
- In Washington’s 16 games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 11 times.
- The average total for Commanders games this season has been 46.1, 2.1 points higher than the total for this game.
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Cowboys Betting Info
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cowboys have a 29.4% chance to win.
- Dallas has compiled a 6-10-0 record against the spread this year.
- The Cowboys have been an underdog by 6.5 points or more four times this season, and covered the spread in one of those contests.
- Dallas games have hit the over 11 out of 16 times this season.
- The average total for Cowboys games is 45.3 points, 1.3 more than this game’s over/under.
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Commanders vs. Cowboys 2024 Scoring Insights
| Pts | Pts Allowed | Home Pts | Home Pts Allowed | Away Pts | Away Pts Allowed | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Commanders | 28.9 | 23.3 | 30.4 | 21.2 | 26.9 | 25.9 |
| Cowboys | 20.7 | 27.8 | 17.8 | 32.3 | 23.6 | 23.4 |
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