Panthers vs. Falcons Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 18

Published 4:37 pm Saturday, January 4, 2025

At Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday, Jan. 5, the Atlanta Falcons face the Carolina Panthers, beginning at 1 p.m. ET. The Falcons should win, according to our computer model — continue reading to find more tips about the point spread, over/under and even the final score.

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The Falcons are totaling 21.9 points per game offensively this season (16th in NFL), and they are allowing 23.7 points per game (20th) on defense. The Panthers rank 25th in points per game (18.6), but they’ve been less effective on the other side of the ball, ranking worst in the NFL with 31 points ceded per contest.

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Panthers vs. Falcons Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Falcons (-8.5) Toss Up (48) Falcons 32, Panthers 15

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Panthers Betting Info

  • The implied probability of a win by the Panthers based on the moneyline is 24.4%.
  • Carolina has won seven games against the spread this season, failing to cover nine times.
  • The Panthers have covered the spread twice when an underdog by 8.5 points or more this year (in five opportunities).
  • In Carolina’s 16 contests this year, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 12 times.
  • The over/under for this game is 4.2 points higher than the average scoring total for Panthers games (postseason included) of 43.8.

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Falcons Betting Info

  • The Falcons have an implied moneyline win probability of 80.0% in this game.
  • Atlanta is 6-9-1 ATS this season.
  • The Falcons have covered the spread when playing as at least 8.5-point favorites in their only opportunity this season.
  • Atlanta games have gone over the point total six out of 16 times this season.
  • The over/under in this game is 48 points, two higher than the average total in Falcons games this season (postseason included).

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Panthers vs. Falcons 2024 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Falcons 21.9 23.7 22.1 21.6 21.8 25.8
Panthers 18.6 31 21.1 28.1 15.3 34.7

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