Commanders vs. Lions Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Divisional Round

Published 8:36 pm Friday, January 17, 2025

At Ford Field on Saturday, Jan. 18, the Detroit Lions meet the Washington Commanders, kicking off at 8 p.m. ET. The Lions should be victorious, according to our computer model — continue reading to find more tips about the point spread, over/under and even the final score.

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On the offensive side of the ball, the Lions have been a top-five unit, ranking second-best in the NFL by averaging 409.5 yards per game. They rank 20th on defense (342.4 yards allowed per game). From an offensive standpoint, the Commanders are compiling 369.6 total yards per contest (seventh-ranked). They rank 13th in the NFL defensively (326.9 total yards allowed per game).

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Commanders vs. Lions Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Lions (-9.5) Under (55.5) Lions 33, Commanders 19

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Commanders Betting Info

  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Commanders have a 20.0% chance to win.
  • Washington went 10-7-0 ATS during the regular season and is 1-0-0 in the playoffs.
  • In Washington games during the regular season, the combined scoring went over the point total 11 times. In the postseason, it’s been zero of one.
  • Games involving the Commanders in the regular season averaged 45.9 points per game, a 9.6-point differential when compared to the over/under for this contest.

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Lions Betting Info

  • The Lions have an 84.6% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline’s implied probability.
  • Detroit has covered the spread 12 times in 17 games this season.
  • The Lions have covered the spread twice this season (2-1 ATS) when playing as at least 9.5-point favorites.
  • So far this season, nine of Detroit’s 17 games have gone over the point total.
  • The over/under for this game is 55.5 points, 5.1 more than the average point total for Lions games this season (playoffs included).

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Commanders vs. Lions 2024 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Lions 33.2 20.1 35.3 21.9 30.8 18.1
Commanders 28.5 23 30.4 21.2 26.4 25

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